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Online Socioeconomic Activity in Russia: Patterns of Dynamics and Regional Diversity

Verzilin D., Maximova T., Sokolova I. Online Socioeconomic Activity in Russia: Patterns of Dynamics and Regional Diversity // Digital Transformation and Global Society: Second International Conference, DTGS 2017, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 21–23, 2017, Revised Selected Papers. Book Series: Communications in Computer and Information Science. Publisher: Springer International Publishing, 2017, Vol. 745, pp. 55-69. (Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69783-3.Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-69784-0) [Abstract]


Verzilin D., Maximova T., Sokolova I. Online Socioeconomic Activity in Russia: Patterns of Dynamics and Regional Diversity // Digital Transformation and Global Society: Second International Conference, DTGS 2017, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 21–23, 2017, Revised Selected Papers. Book Series: Communications in Computer and Information Science. Publisher: Springer International Publishing, 2017, Vol. 745, pp. 55-69. (Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69783-3.Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-69784-0) [Abstract]


Abstract

ОSecond-order cybernetic models let explain an influence of mass behavior upon macroeconomic characteristics. In particular, we consider situations related to the self-organization and synergy of interacting socio-economic systems and an impact of random factors. In such situations catastrophic intensity of offensive adaptive mass behavior may produce a negative impact on the economic stability. Nonlinear dynamics of self-organization processes complicates prediction of macroeconomic characteristics via extrapolation of trends. An amplitude-frequency analysis of oscillatory self-organization processes let obtain more relevant forecasts.